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Kronos

An open-source foundation model for financial OHLCV: discretize candlesticks into hierarchical tokens and train an autoregressive Transformer.
8.4kPythonMIT License
#python#pytorch#transformer#time-series-forecasting#financial-candlesticks
#ohlcv
#discrete-tokenizer
#autoregressive-model
#quant-research
#market-data-modeling
#finetuning
#foundation-model

What is it?

Kronos treats financial candlestick sequences as a learnable “language”. It first applies a dedicated tokenizer to quantize continuous, multi-dimensional OHLCV into hierarchical discrete tokens, then pretrains a decoder-only autoregressive Transformer over token sequences to unify forecasting, generation, and downstream quant tasks. Model weights and tokenizers can be pulled from Hugging Face, and a Predictor interface packages normalization, truncation, sampling, and inverse transforms into a reusable pipeline. When you need domain fit for a specific asset universe or frequency, you can structure data and backtests with Qlib and run two-stage finetuning (tokenizer + predictor) via torchrun to keep training and evaluation regression-friendly.

Pain Points vs Innovation

✕Traditional Pain Points✓Innovative Solutions
Feeding raw financial series into general models often fails under noise and scale shifts; assumptions drift quickly across markets and frequencies.Kronos uses a two-stage discrete tokenizer plus autoregressive pretraining to convert continuous OHLCV into a learnable token language that is more stable and transferable.
Classic TS pipelines scatter bucketing, normalization, sampling, and evaluation across scripts, making experiments hard to reproduce and share.A Predictor interface and finetuning scripts harden training/inference/evaluation into configurable pipelines for A/B comparisons and regression tests.

Architecture Deep Dive

Two-stage discrete modeling paradigm
First quantize continuous OHLCV into hierarchical discrete tokens, then run autoregressive pretraining on token sequences—effectively defining a learnable vocabulary and syntax for market series.
End-to-end flow from data to forecasts
Pipeline: candlestick table → tokenizer encoding → autoregressive sampling → inverse transforms. Predictor standardizes truncation, temperature/top-p, and multi-sample averaging behind one interface.
Core stack for finetuning and backtesting
Python-first with PyTorch distributed training (torchrun). Data prep and backtests can integrate with Qlib so configs and eval sets become regression-ready artifacts.

Deployment Guide

1. Clone the repo and create a Python environment

bash
1git clone https://github.com/shiyu-coder/Kronos.git && cd Kronos && python -m venv .venv && . .venv/bin/activate

2. Install dependencies

bash
1pip install -U pip && pip install -r requirements.txt

3. Load weights/tokenizer from Hugging Face and run a prediction example

bash
1python examples/prediction_example.py

4. (Optional) Install and prepare Qlib data for finetuning/backtests

bash
1pip install pyqlib && python finetune/qlib_data_preprocess.py

5. (Optional) Run two-stage finetuning with torchrun (tokenizer + predictor)

bash
1torchrun --standalone --nproc_per_node=2 finetune/train_tokenizer.py && torchrun --standalone --nproc_per_node=2 finetune/train_predictor.py

Use Cases

Core SceneTarget AudienceSolutionOutcome
A forecasting baseline for quant researchquant researchersmodel multi-asset candlesticks as token sequences and benchmark forecastsfaster iteration with reproducible evaluation and fewer ad-hoc scripts
Representation learning across marketsmulti-venue teamsalign frequencies and scales through a unified tokenizerreduce drift-driven rework and make transfer learning operational
Signals plus backtests as one pipelinestrategy engineeringturn forecasts into tradable signals and run backtestsa train→infer→backtest loop that supports regression and version comparisons

Limitations & Gotchas

Limitations & Gotchas
  • Inference can run on CPU, but finetuning and batch workloads benefit heavily from GPUs and distributed training, so plan compute budgets early.
  • Treating raw forecasts as alpha introduces structural risk; you still need costs, slippage, exposures, and portfolio constraints to avoid backtest overfit.
  • Market microstructure and data quality vary across venues; tokenizer choices and cleaning rules often dominate the ceiling.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kronos for trading or research?▾
Kronos is best treated as a signal and representation backbone. For trading, you must incorporate costs, slippage, and portfolio constraints, plus drift checks and regression suites to avoid overfit.
Do I need a GPU?▾
Not strictly. Inference and small experiments can run on CPU; for batch forecasting and two-stage finetuning, GPUs and torchrun-based distributed runs improve throughput and stability.
How do I finetune on my own market data?▾
Standardize OHLCV tables (timezone, gaps, corporate actions), structure splits and backtests with Qlib, then finetune tokenizer and predictor in two stages and diff results on a pinned evaluation set.
View on GitHub

Project Metrics

Stars8.4 k
LanguagePython
LicenseMIT License
Deploy DifficultyMedium

Table of Contents

  1. 01What is it?
  2. 02Pain Points vs Innovation
  3. 03Architecture Deep Dive
  4. 04Deployment Guide
  5. 05Use Cases
  6. 06Limitations & Gotchas
  7. 07Frequently Asked Questions

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